Now it’d be daft to not concede that password sharing is a thing. Heck, it’s been actively encouraged even, although it would have happened anyway. Netflix though estimates that nearly one in three households share their password, amounting to around 100 million users who aren’t paying for the privilege of watching The Ridiculous Six. The company must have taken a view that even if it gets money out of, say, 10% of those people, that’s going to be worth the pushback it gets. The pushback has been significant though, but how much of that is just social media noise? That said, it doesn’t help that at the upper tiers, Netflix is already about the most expensive of the big streaming services. Yet the bigger problem I’d suggest it faces with its password crackdown – which, in truth, we might grumble about, but then most of us will move on – is that it’s doing the pathfinding alone. For such a crackdown to be genuinely effective, I’d suggest that is needs to be collective. In the land of social media, it’s interesting that serial narcissist Elon Musk’s plan to get people to pay for verified accounts on was widely scoffed at, then Facebook said soon thereafter that it was going to give the same thing a try. I’d imagine that Disney in particular is watching what happens here with interest: it could use a few extra quid too, but does it – as the upstart competitor – want the badwill that comes with going first on such a crackdown policy? Whilst Disney puzzles that out, Netflix clearly felt the heat from the first draft of its own plans. As the BBC reported this week, the shared subscriber policy is being introduced “a few months later than expected, as it tweaks the offering in response to feedback, like making sure users can access their accounts easily while travelling”. Will the 31 day restriction hold? We don’t know yet, but there’s bound to be something in the final shape of what’s happening to get on people’s whatsits. But Netflix is also going into this with its eyes open. It’s told its investors that it expects account cancellations as a result of the policy shift. It’s entirely feasible that total subscriber numbers will decrease, but with the Netflix hope that this is offset by getting more revenue from those who stick around. Evidence it’s gathered from its rollout in Canada suggests the downside for its is negligible, at least at first. Yet this is still a risk. Unlike Apple and Amazon, Netflix’s business has been built on debt, and that debt needs servicing. It’s profitable, to the tune of over $1bn in three months, but also vulnerable. And it knows it. It’s testing times, and there’s a sense that a bullet is being bitten here. As the streaming market matures, the back end of 2023 may well define just how the biggest services operate in the months ahead. Netflix may be going first here, but the ramifications are potentially far broader. Get your popcorn, get ready to stop sharing your passwords: the show is about to begin…Love is sharing a password.
— Netflix (@netflix) March 10, 2017
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